Saturday, October 4, 2008

Georgian military went against Saakashvili and NATO reported: they were afraid to start a war

Georgian Chief accounted for the war in the Brussels headquarters of NATO. It is reported the German Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung. According to the Independent newspaper, the Georgian armed forces commanders "told allies that they were against military incursion into South Ossetia." They assured that, whether they will, they would dissuade President Saakashvili of the invasion. They believed that South Ossetia with the Georgian army and police forces could cope, but against Russia were obviously powerless. NATO diplomats suspect that "speech Staff, possibly an attempt to repeal the generals and assign all the blame for Saakashvili lost the war."

Recall on Monday in Tbilisi NATO experts arrived to assess the extent of damage from fighting during the Russian-Georgian conflict. September 15-16 NATO delegation will visit Tbilisi, to be led by NATO, Jaap de Hoop Scheffer. The official purpose of the two-day visit once again to express "unanimous solidarity" with the regime of Saakashvili and informal - to clarify the requirements for rearming its army, the publication writes.

-- Mystery Rokskogo tunnel: who started the war. Georgian versions differ
-- The Alliance itself out who is to blame
-- Genshtab RF: At the beginning of the invasion of Georgian troops YUO 14 times exceeded the number of peacekeepers RF
-- U.S. Department of State has no independent information about the chronology of the conflict
-- The opposition demands the resignation of Saakashvili. Possible developments
-- U.S. Congressman called on to represent Russia to stop the aggressor: the Georgians entered the YUO

Against the backdrop of record generals diplomats in Brussels say that the Georgian Staff did not report combined with President Saakashvili explanations about the reasons for his decision to launch the "military movement" were also brought to the leadership of NATO.

Secret tunnel Rokskogo: who started the war. Versions differ Saakashvili and generals

Roksky tunnel connecting South and North Ossetia. According to the version Saakashvili, the start of military action was a response to South Ossetia provocation and a direct threat to Russian attacks.

Georgia allegedly had reliable information that "Russian has already passed through the Roksky tunnel", and therefore invaded South Ossetia. In such a case, the alliance could take the Georgian aggression forced a kind of defence.

The report of the Georgian version of Staff received a tunnel Rokskom interpretation. Georgian generals told at NATO headquarters that their armed forces saw the explosion Rokskogo tunnel option, but they are generals, renounced him, as has already walked through the tunnel South Ossetia refugees.

NATO diplomats suspect, the newspaper writes that "speech Staff, possibly an attempt to repeal the generals and assign all the blame for Saakashvili lost the war." Notable quotes from articles on the subject site leads "headlines. Ru".

In those same circles pay attention, that contrary to custom, when a country is attacked, the Georgian government took no diplomatic moves. It has not tried to seek assistance from either the UN or the OSCE. A NATO request for help came only five days after the beginning of the war.

The Alliance itself out who started the war

Meanwhile, the alliance already has, as claimed in Brussels, accurate picture of the progress and results for the Georgian side of hostilities in the Caucasus. And not only on the report of Staff of Georgian, but also from its own intelligence countries - NATO members and the alliance.

Alliance gathered information confirms what the Georgian armed forces began on the night of 7 / 8 August operation to seize South Ossetia. By that time, the number of Georgian army stood at 10 thousand people, but one of its brigade was in Iraq.

In Tskhinvali, supported by artillery invaded 3 - 4 and I - I brigade, and 2 - I was in reserve. They quickly captured the city and began to move towards Rokskogo tunnel.

Parts of Russia's 58 - and the army strength of 8 thousand people were in North Ossetia. They have just returned from conventional manoeuvres in the Caucasus region. According to NATO circles, it has provided Russian advantage, since the military equipment was ready to move, loaded with fuel and ammunition.

Russian went through the tunnel, telling NATO in Brussels circles, and quickly broke 3 - yu Georgian brigade. She fled, its heavy weapons, and 4 - I turned back in the direction of Gori.

Another Russian reached on August 8 Tskhinvali. But on the night of 8 to 9 August Georgians have attempted to counter. August 9, with American help was returned from Iraq 1 - Brigade, but that is not helped. With a complete superiority in the air, Russian Air Force destroyed on the ground all 12 of Georgian bombers.

All ships were sunk Georgian Navy. According to NATO, as a result of fighting, 198 Georgian soldiers were killed, 1700 injured, scattered 5000.

In those same circles are reminded that as Georgia has received military assistance from 180 million U.S. dollars from Turkey and another 90 million, which were purchased mainly weapons in Ukraine. But most of the Georgian military was destroyed.

In this regard, Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung leads the views of NATO circles, according to which the Georgian army today is a "minimal military value".

Chronicle of War

Recall the war started in South Ossetia after Georgian troops on the night of 7 / 8 August entered into the territory of the unrecognized republic and its capital city shelled Tskhinvali.

But in Georgia claim that the shelling began as a response to the shelling of Georgian villages of Tamarasheni and Prisi from the Ossetian side after Saakashvili called for demilitarization of conflict zones.

The morning of August 8, Georgia stated that already controls the 8 villages of South Ossetia. The fighting continued. The same day, Georgian President Mikhail Saakashvili announced a general mobilization and called on all reservists to be of military items.

In response, the Russian side in South Ossetia has introduced its troops and military equipment, after which many Western policy in Russia accused the disproportionate use of force.

August 10, Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs called the number of victims in South Ossetia: more than 2 thousand people

On Tuesday, August 12, Russian President Dmitry Medvedev said on the cessation of hostilities in South Ossetia and successful, the operation forced Georgia to peace. Day previously head of the Georgian State Mikhail Saakashvili signed a document on a cease-fire in the Georgian-Ossetian conflict.

Then on the shuttle talks as an intermediary between Moscow and Tbilisi arrived Nicolas Sarkozy - French President Presidency of the EU. At a meeting with Medvedev was developed "a plan of the six principles."

Mikhail Saakashvili in Tbilisi in general terms and adopted the statement signed by the presidents of Russia and France.

But the sixth paragraph plan means the beginning of international debate on the future status of South Ossetia and Abkhazia and ways to ensure their lasting security. Against the recognition of the independence of these republics spoke West.

August 26 President of Russia Dmitry Medvedev recognize the independence of South Ossetia and Abkhazia, later explaining why he did it.

The opposition demands the resignation of Saakashvili. Possible developments

Georgian opposition, writes "RBK Daily", has already begun active phase of the campaign to further discredit Saakashvili with his subsequent resignation. After several trips to Washington by representatives of the opposition trend became clear: the U.S. no longer want to support Saakashvili and intend to change it, perhaps already this year.

Experts note that looks the most likely scenario in which Georgian President goes to the voluntary resignation after receiving a directive from the White House.

The leader of the opposition party "New Rules" David Gamkrelidze said: that the Georgian president should resign, to appoint early presidential and parliamentary elections.

Experts predict that it is Nino Burdzhanadze could become the next president of Georgia. According to the head of the movement "Samegrelo" Alexander Chachii, in the U.S. have already come to understand that Mikhail Saakashvili simply can not remain at the head of a friendly state and federal dollars: "It was decided to replace Saakashvili new doll. At this role is best suited Nino Burjanadze , It has no real competitors, "- believes Alexander Chachiya.

U.S. State Department had no independent information about the chronology of the conflict

The evidence that Russian troops entered the Roksky tunnel 7 - August, the Washington No, said Daniel Fried USA. Responding on Tuesday at the parliamentary hearings on the question of one of the Members of the Committee for International Affairs of the House of Representatives Congress U.S. Dany Rorabahera, transmits Interfax, he said that he had no independent confirm this information. "This is what we were told Georgians," -- Freed explained.

"Exact is that on August 7 Georgians have told us that Russian tanks outside the Roksky tunnel, located on the border between Russia and Georgia "- said Fried. According to him, Tbilisi feared" that the Russian going to strike on Georgia.

"We are still investigating the exact chronology of when Russian forces entered the Roksky tunnel - told the American diplomat. --

Indeed, Georgians believed that the Russian had already been in Rokskom tunnel, when Georgians have decided to oppose Tskhinvali and, as far as I understanding that Georgians believed that tell us the truth. "

At the hearings Fried was asked clarifying the question is at this point whether the Bush administration accurate data on the chronology Rokskom happening in the tunnel from independent sources. "So far, no ' -- Acknowledged dollars.

Fried was unable to answer the question why the power went to Georgia actions of the U.S. warnings.

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